蝴蝶效应.ppt

1、How many do you usually know?蝴蝶效应蝴蝶效应The Butterfly EffectThe Butterfly EffectThe Butterfly Effect is defined as a dynamic(动态的动态的)system,the initial（最初的）（最初的）conditions,small changes can bring the whole system a great long-term effects.This is a chaotic（混乱的）（混乱的）phenomenon.The Butterfly Effect is the

2、 meteorologist Lorenz put forward in 1963.蝴蝶效应蝴蝶效应:上个世纪上个世纪7070年代，美国一个名叫洛伦兹的气象学年代，美国一个名叫洛伦兹的气象学家在解释空气系统理论时说，亚马逊雨林一只蝴蝶翅膀偶尔家在解释空气系统理论时说，亚马逊雨林一只蝴蝶翅膀偶尔振动，也许两周后就会引起美国得克萨斯州的一场龙卷风。振动，也许两周后就会引起美国得克萨斯州的一场龙卷风。The reason is:the movement of butterflies wings,leading to its side to change the air system and air

3、flow caused by the emergence of weak,and weak air currents（流通的）（流通的）that it would lead to the emergence of ambient air or other system changes to produce a result,reflect the chain,eventually lead to significant changes in other systems.The butterfly effect tells that we shouldnt ignore a small thin

4、g,sometimes it may be quite significant for an organization or a country,so we must care from small things.蝴蝶效应是说，初始条件十分微小的变化经蝴蝶效应是说，初始条件十分微小的变化经过不断放大，对其未来状态会造成极其巨大过不断放大，对其未来状态会造成极其巨大的差别。有些小事可以糊涂，有些小事如经的差别。有些小事可以糊涂，有些小事如经系统放大，则对一个组织、一个国家来说是系统放大，则对一个组织、一个国家来说是很重要的，就不能糊涂。很重要的，就不能糊涂。首套房利率上调现“蝴蝶效应”不可不知的

5、脂肪肝的“蝴蝶效应”各界期待出现各界期待出现“蝴蝶效应蝴蝶效应”“蝴蝶效应蝴蝶效应”是说，初始十分是说，初始十分青蛙现象青蛙现象The Frog PhenomenonThe Frog PhenomenonIf you directly put a frog into a pot with hot If you directly put a frog into a pot with hot water,it will quickly jump out of the pot water,it will quickly jump out of the pot because of its sensi

6、tive reaction to the because of its sensitive reaction to the environment around itself.However,if put a environment around itself.However,if put a frog into a pot with cold water and then frog into a pot with cold water and then slowly heat,the frog wont jump out of the slowly heat,the frog wont ju

7、mp out of the pot and gradually be boiled to dead.pot and gradually be boiled to dead.青蛙现象：把一只青蛙直接放进热水锅里，由于它对青蛙现象：把一只青蛙直接放进热水锅里，由于它对不良环境的反应十分敏感，就会迅速跳出锅外。如果不良环境的反应十分敏感，就会迅速跳出锅外。如果把一个青蛙放进冷水锅里，慢慢地加温，青蛙并不会把一个青蛙放进冷水锅里，慢慢地加温，青蛙并不会立即跳出锅外，水温逐渐提高的最终结局是青蛙被煮立即跳出锅外，水温逐渐提高的最终结局是青蛙被煮死了，因为等水温高到青蛙无法忍受时，它已经来不死了，因为等水

8、温高到青蛙无法忍受时，它已经来不及、或者说是没有能力跳出锅外了。及、或者说是没有能力跳出锅外了。This tell us:Some mutation events often make people alert,but the unawareness of the change into bad often is the deadly factor for people青蛙现象告诉青蛙现象告诉我们，一些突我们，一些突变事件，往往变事件，往往容易引起人们容易引起人们的警觉，而易的警觉，而易致人于死地的致人于死地的却是在自我感却是在自我感觉良好的情况觉良好的情况下，对实际情下，对实际情况的逐渐恶化

9、，况的逐渐恶化，没有清醒的察没有清醒的察觉。觉。警惕警惕“温水煮青蛙温水煮青蛙”职场法律危职场法律危险险嗨，快下来一起玩！嗨，快下来一起玩！青蛙现象告诉我们，一些突变青蛙现象告诉我们，一些突变鳄鱼法则鳄鱼法则The crocodilian principleAssume that a crocodile bites your feet,at this time,if you try to get rid of the crocodile with your hand,the crocodile will bite not only your feet but also your hands.T

10、hat is to saythe more you struggle,the more the crocodile bites you.So the best way is to sacrifice only a foot.鳄鱼法则：其原意是假定一只鳄鱼咬住你的脚，如果你鳄鱼法则：其原意是假定一只鳄鱼咬住你的脚，如果你用手去试图挣脱你的脚，鳄鱼便会同时咬住你的脚与手。用手去试图挣脱你的脚，鳄鱼便会同时咬住你的脚与手。你愈挣扎，就被咬住得越多。所以，万一鳄鱼咬住你的你愈挣扎，就被咬住得越多。所以，万一鳄鱼咬住你的脚，你唯一的办法就是牺牲一只脚。脚，你唯一的办法就是牺牲一只脚。It tells u

11、s:When you find yourself are going the wrong direction in your trading market,you should immediately stop without any delay in case that you will lose more.鳄鱼法则就鳄鱼法则就是：是：当你发现自当你发现自己的交易背己的交易背离了市场的离了市场的方向，必须方向，必须立即止损，立即止损，不得有任何不得有任何延误，不得延误，不得存有任何侥存有任何侥幸。幸。The watch lowThe watch low手表定律手表定律We can know

12、the time if we have got only one watch,however we cant make sure the accurate time with two watches.Two watches cant tell people the accurate time instead,it will make us lose the confidence about the time.手表定律：手表定律是指一个人有一只表时，可以知道现在是几点钟，而当他同时拥有两只时却无法确定。两只表并不能告诉一个人更准确的时间，反而会使看表的人失去对准确时间的信心。It tells u

13、s:To the same individual or the same organization,we cant use two different kinds of methods,and even each individual cant be controlled by two people,or the individual or the organization will be out of control.手表定律在企业管理方面给我们一种非常直观的启发，就手表定律在企业管理方面给我们一种非常直观的启发，就是对同一个人或同一个组织不能同时采用两种不同的方法，是对同一个人或同一个组织

14、不能同时采用两种不同的方法，不能同时设置两个不同的目标，甚至每一个人不能由两个不能同时设置两个不同的目标，甚至每一个人不能由两个人来同时指挥，否则将使这个企业或者个人无所适从。人来同时指挥，否则将使这个企业或者个人无所适从。手表定律又称两只手表定律手表定律又称两只手表定律Life itself is an encyclopedia(百百科全科全书书),from it we can acquire many unexpected knowledge and things.This can promote（促促进进）us to make a great improvement in every aspect,so we must be cautious about everything around usThank youThe end