国际财务管理-Short-Term-Finan课件.ppt

1、Chapter 8Short-Term Financing1ppt课件Objectives This chapter explains short-term liability management of MNCs,a part of multinational management that is often neglected in other textbooks.From this chapter,we should learn that correct financing decisions can reduce the firms costs and maximize the val

2、ue of the MNC.While foreign financing costs cannot usually be perfectly forecasted,firms should evaluate the probability of reducing costs through foreign financing.The specific objectives are:2ppt课件Objectives to explain why MNCs consider foreign financing;to explain how MNCs determine whether to us

3、e foreign financing;and to illustrate the possible benefits of financing with a portfolio of currencies.3ppt课件Pre-class Discussion1.If a firm consistently exports to a country with low interest rates and needs to consistently borrow funds,explain how it could coordinate its invoicing and financing t

4、o reduce its financing costs.2.What is the risk of borrowing a low interest rate currency?3.Assume that foreign currencies X,Y,and Z are highly correlated.If a firm diversifies its financing among these three currencies,will it substantially reduce its exchange rate exposure?Explain.4ppt课件Internal F

5、inancing by MNCs Before an MNCs parent or subsidiary searches for outside funding,it should determine if any internal funds are available.Parents of MNCs may also raise funds by increasing their markups on the supplies that they send to their subsidiaries.5ppt课件Sources of Short-Term Financing Eurono

6、tes are unsecured debt securities with typical maturities of 1,3 or 6 months.They are underwritten by commercial banks.MNCs may also issue Euro-commercial papers to obtain short-term financing.MNCs utilize direct Eurobank loans to maintain a relationship with the banks too.6ppt课件Why MNCs ConsiderFor

7、eign Financing An MNC may finance in a foreign currency to offset a net receivables position in that foreign currency.An MNC may also consider borrowing foreign currencies when the interest rates on such currencies are attractive,so as to reduce the costs of financing.7ppt课件Determining theEffective

8、Financing RateThe actual cost of financing depends onthe interest rate on the loan,andthe movement in the value of the borrowed currency over the life of the loan.Example:how to compute the effective financing rate 8ppt课件How to compute the effective financing rate (Example)Dearborn,Inc.(based in Mic

9、higan),obtains a one-year loan of$1,000,000 in New Zealand dollars(NZ$)at the quoted interest rate of 8 percent.When Dearborn receives the loan,it converts the NZ$to US$to pay a supplier for materials.The exchange rate at that time is$.50,so the NZ$1,000,000 is converted to$500,000(1,000,000*$.50).O

10、ne year later,Dearborn pays back the loan of NZ$1,000,000 plus interest of NZ$80,000(8%*NZ$1,000,000).Thus,the total amount in New Zealand dollars needed by Dearborn is NZ$1,080,000(1,000,000+80,000).Assume the New Zealand dollar appreciates from$.50 to$.60 by the time the loan is to be repaid.Dearb

11、orn will need to convert$648,000 9ppt课件How to compute the effective financing rate (Example)(1,080,000*$.60)to have the necessary number of New Zealand dollars for loan repayment.To compute the effective financing rate,first determine the amount in U.S.dollars beyond the amount borrowed that was pai

12、d back.Then divide by the number of U.S.dollars borrowed (after converting the New Zealand dollars to U.S.dollars).Given that Dearborn borrowed the equivalent of$500,000 and paid back$648,000 for the loan,the effective financing rate in this case is$148,000/$500,000=29.6%.10ppt课件Determining theEffec

13、tive Financing Rate Effective financing rate rf =(1+if)1+(St+1-S)/S-1where if =the interest rate on the loan S =beginning spot rate St+1 =ending spot rate The effective rate can be rewritten as rf =(1+if)(1+ef)1where ef =the%D in the spot rate11ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign Financing There are

14、 various criteria an MNC must consider in its financing decision,including interest rate parity,the forward rate as a forecast,and exchange rate forecasts.12ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign FinancingInterest Rate Parity(IRP)If IRP holds,foreign financing with a simultaneous hedge of that position

15、 in the forward market will result in financing costs similar to those for domestic financing.13ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign FinancingThe Forward Rate as a Forecast If the forward rate is an accurate estimate of the future spot rate,the foreign financing rate will be similar to the home finan

16、cing rate.If the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate,then the effective financing rate of a foreign loan will on average be equal to the domestic financing rate.Summary of the implications of a variety of scenarios relating to interest rate parity and forward rate.14ppt课件Im

17、plications of IRP for FinancingIRP holds?Scenario Type of financing Financing costs Yes Covered Similar Yes Forward rate accurately Uncovered Similar predicts future spot rate Yes Forward rate overestimates Uncovered Lower future spot rate Yes Forward rate underestimates Uncovered Higher future spot

18、 rate No Forward premium(discount)Covered Higher exceeds(is less than)interest rate differential No Forward premium(discount)Covered Lower is less than(exceeds)interest rate differential15ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign FinancingExchange Rate Forecasts Firms may use exchange rate forecasts to fo

19、recast the effective financing rate of a foreign currency,or they may compute the break-even exchange rate that will equate the domestic and foreign financing rates.Example:Sarasota,Inc.needs funds for one year and is aware that the one-year interest rate of U.S.dollar is 12 percent while the intere

20、st rate from borrowing Swiss francs is 8 percent.Sarasota forecasts that the Swiss Franc will appreciate from its current rate of$.45 to$.459,or by 2 percent over the next year.The expected value for ef will therefore be 2 percent.Thus,the expected effective 16ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign Fin

21、ancing financing rate will be E(rf)=(1+if)1+E(ef)1 =(1+.08)(1+.02)1 =.1016(10.16%)Thus,financing is Swiss francs is expected to be less expensive than financing in U.S.dollars,though still with uncertainty.To determine what value of ef would make the effective rate from foreign financing the same as

22、 domestic financing,we could use the effective financing rate formula and solve for ef:17ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign Financing ef=(1+rf)/(1+if)1 In this example,rf is 12 percent and if is 8 percent,so ef=(1+.12)/(1+.08)1 =.037037(3.7037%)This suggests that the Swiss frank would have to appre

23、ciate by about 3.7 percent over the loan period to make the Swiss franc loan as costly as a loan in U.S.dollar.18ppt课件Criteria Considered forForeign Financing Sometimes,it may be useful to develop probability distributions,instead of relying on single point estimates.The firm can compare this distri

24、bution to the known financing rate of the home currency to make its financing decision.(Example:P480-481)19ppt课件Actual ResultsFrom Foreign Financing The fact that some firms utilize foreign financing suggests that they believe reduced financing costs can be achieved.20ppt课件Financing with a Portfolio

25、 of Currencies While foreign financing can result in significantly lower financing costs,the variance in the costs is higher.MNCs may be able to achieve lower financing costs without excessive risk by financing with a portfolio of currencies.(Example:P483-485)21ppt课件Financing with a Portfolio of Cur

26、rencies If the chosen currencies are not highly positively correlated,they will not be likely to experience a high level of appreciation simultaneously.Thus,the chances that the portfolios effective financing rate will exceed the domestic financing rate are reduced.22ppt课件Financing with a Portfolio

27、of Currencies A firm that repeatedly finances in a currency portfolio will normally prefer to compose a financing package that exhibits a somewhat predictable effective financing rate on a periodic basis.When comparing different financing packages,the variance can be used to measure how volatile a p

28、ortfolios effective financing rate is.23ppt课件Financing with a Portfolio of CurrenciesFor a two-currency portfolio,E(rP)=wAE(rA)+wBE(rB)where rP=the effective financing rate of the portfolio rX=the effective financing rate of currency X wX=the%of total funds financed from currency X24ppt课件Financing w

29、ith a Portfolio of Currencies For a two-currency portfolio,Var(rP)=wA2 A2+wB2 B2+2wAwB A BCORRABX2 =the variance of currency Xs effective financing rate CORRAB =the correlation coefficient of the two currencies effective finance rates25ppt课件Questions and Applications 1.Explain why an MNC parent woul

30、d consider financing from its subsidiaries.2.Explain how a firms degree of risk aversion enters into its decision of whether to finance in a foreign currency or a local currency.What motivates the firm to even consider financing in a foreign currency?26ppt课件Questions and Applications 3.Discuss the u

31、se of specifying a break-even point when financing in a foreign currency.4.Boca,Inc.,needs$4 million for one year.It currently has no business in Japan but plans to borrow Japanese yen from a Japanese bank because the Japanese interest rate is three percentage points lower than the U.S.rate.Assume t

32、hat interest rate parity exists;also assume that Boca believes that the one-year forward rate of the Japanese yen will exceed the future spot rate one year from now.Will the expected effective financing rate be higher,lower,or the same as financing with dollars?Explain.27ppt课件Questions and Applicati

33、ons 5.Akron Co.needs dollars.Assume that the local one-year loan rate is 15 percent,while a one-year loan rate on euros is 7 percent.By how much must the euro appreciate to cause the loan in euros to be more costly than a U.S.dollar loan?6.Missoula,Inc.,decides to borrow Japanese yen for one year.Th

34、e interest rate on the borrowed yen is 8 percent.Missoula has developed the following probability distribution for the yens degree of fluctuation against the dollar:28ppt课件Questions and Applications Possible Degree of Fluctuation Percentage of Yen Against the Dollar Probability -4%20%-1%30%0 10%3%40

35、%Given this information,what is the expected value of the effective financing rate of the Japanese yen from Missoulas perspective?29ppt课件Questions and Applications 7.Pepperdine,Inc.,considers obtaining 40 percent of its one-year financing in Canadian dollars and 60 percent in Japanese yen.The foreca

36、sts of appreciation in the Canadian dollar and Japanese yen for the next year are as follows:Possible Percentage Probability of change in the Spot That Percentage Rate Over the Change in the Spot Currency Loan Life Spot Rate Occurring Canadian dollar 4%70%Canadian dollar 7%30%Japanese yen 6%50%Japan

37、ese yen 9%50%30ppt课件Questions and Applications The interest rate on the Canadian dollar is 9 percent and the interest rate on the Japanese yen is 7 percent.Develop the possible effective financing rates of the overall portfolio and the probability of each possibility based on the use of joint probabilities.31ppt课件